Jones knows best bets: 7/1 Ryan Christie out, 6/1 weekend treble | Football News

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go through Lewis Jones, football journalist

15:28, UK, Friday 10 May 2024

Our top source Jones Knows has unleashed his best bets across the entire Premier League weekend and he believes Ryan Christie will star for Bournemouth at odds of 7/1.

How were we last weekend?

The best trio hit the buffers at the wrong time of the season. With such large bets, you need to determine a lot of variables to win, which means these won’t win every week, but seven weeks in a row without a return is frustrating.

Are things really as bad as they seem? In typical fashion, I decided to run the numbers and see how each of the treble legs performed over the past 10 weeks, because it felt like we had hit the mark.

The results show that this is indeed the case. We’ve lost one game in five of the last six weeks, including last weekend, and I’d be willing to go against Arsenal at price by backing Bournemouth +2, which puts us at 12/1 and puts us in the bin One more point.

If you collate all individual picks from the past 10 weeks (price range from 4/6 to 2/1), the result is profitable.

During this period, a total of 31 selections were suggested as part of the best betting trio, with 22 winning selections. This is a 71% execution rate, which means that if you take a rough guide to the prices involved (i.e. Evens), the return on a level bet will be +13 of that estimate. Anyone who takes the game seriously will tell you that for the off-the-shelf price, it’s an excellent return on investment. Hopefully some of you readers have been playing this way.

That said, for those willing to play the long game, based on these results, one of the trebles should be achieved in the final two weeks of the season. We are not far away.

Profit + Loss = +14.5

Earned 1 point in the treble against West Ham at Luton, won 5 or more corners, under 3.5 goals against Arsenal and Liverpool, beat Aston Villa and Over 2.5 Goals (6/1 with Sky Bet – Bet Here!)

Luton have to go big and that’s home.

When a team needs to win, they take a lot more corners, and Luton win corners by pushing their full-backs into advanced areas and sending the ball into the box. West Ham defend very deep under Moyes and are therefore vulnerable to Luton’s ability to win corners – as seen in the reverse fixture where Luton have won nine games.

They have odds of 5/6 with Sky Bet to win 5 or more games here, which looks like a great bet.

4/5 at Sky Bet An under 3.5 goal line is United’s best performance against Arsenal as I think Mikel Arteta will go there in ‘get the job done’ mode with an eye on Clean sheet.

Sky Sports live broadcast of Manchester United vs Arsenal

Aston Villa, meanwhile, are becoming a very easy-to-score team.

Over the past 15 Premier League games, their average expected goals per 90 is 1.91, which ranks them fourth in the Premier League, even worse than Sheffield United. Things get even worse when assessing their big chances conceded figures – only Luton have provided more Opta-defined ‘big chances’ in their last 15 games – 42 in 15 games, an average of 2.8 pcs.

Liverpool are the kings of creating these great chances – no team has created more than their 95 this season.

Back Liverpool to win via Sky Bet and look to be the winner in waiting with over 2.5 goals scored on 11/10.

Ryan Christie scores 1 point for Bournemouth against Brentford (Sky Bet 7/1 – Place your bet here!)

Bournemouth’s Ryan Christie is set to hit the books with odds of 7/1 with Sky Bet

Matthew Donoghue is taking charge of his first Premier League game here – I’m always keen to support the card angle when a referee first enters this environment. Ryan Christie will score 13/2 with Sky Bet. The tenacious Scot has become Andoni Iola’s destroyer – and if a player needs to be tackled, Christie will tackle him.

This has led to a high propensity for fouls in his games, something that was on full display in last weekend’s loss to Arsenal when he was lucky to escape a red card for a foul on Bukayo Saka, but ultimately Got carded late in the game. He has committed 23 fouls in his last 12 starts and has been booked six times in his last 22 games. The price he paid was too high.

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