Why Arsenal won’t enter Pot 1 of the Champions League even if they beat Manchester City to win the Premier League title

Even if Arsenal manage to win the Premier League this season, they will not enter the first pot of the revamped UEFA Champions League. The previous rule was that the winner of Europe’s top leagues would automatically receive the highest seed in Europe’s elite competition next season.

However, with the competition expanding next year and a change to the semi-league round-robin format, Arsenal will not benefit from domestic success if they secure an unlikely title bid against Manchester City. To make matters worse, third-placed Liverpool are expected to enter Pot 1 of next season’s Champions League despite being expected to finish lower than the Gunners.

The reason behind this is the tournament’s new seeding system. The promoted teams enter their respective brackets based on UEFA coefficients. Arsenal currently has 72 points, ranking 22nd in Europe.

The results of other teams and their respective league positions mean that Arsenal will be in the second pot next season regardless of where other teams are ranked. At the same time, Liverpool ranks fifth in Europe with 114 points, tied for the top spot with Manchester City, Bayern Munich, Real Madrid, Paris Saint-Germain, Inter Milan, Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig.

Barcelona and Bayer Leverkusen could still move into pot one or two, depending on the German side’s success in the Europa League. But how does it break down in terms of scheduling decisions?

The 32-team group stage has now become the 36-team league stage for the first stage. Each team will be drawn against eight opponents, with two opponents for each of the four seeds.

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